close
close

What is really behind Trump’s direct negotiations with Hamas? – analysis

What is really behind Trump’s direct negotiations with Hamas? – analysis

What is really behind Trump’s direct negotiations with Hamas? – analysis
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, US President Donald Trump and Hamas’s top official, Khalil Al-Hayya. (Design: Chronic Palestine)

By Robert Inlakesh

If the US Trump administration will prevent a result that could lead to the loss of millions of lives, also, strongly burdening the American army at a time when Washington desperately tries to assert itself in the new multi-pole order, it must act to contain the inevitable collision.

Since the inauguration of US President Donald Trump in January, it would be an underestimation to say that Western Asia policy has been confused, especially in Gaza.

What we could see is Washington’s attempt to save Israel by itself. At least, this is the only way to understand the US that has direct negotiations with Hamas for the first time.

From the video you have an offensive and fiery video called “Trump Gaza” and threats to ethically clean the entire besieged coast enclave, to negotiations with Hamas.

It seems that the United States would have taken over the course of the ceasing cease negotiations in Gaza, aimed at issuing the remaining Israeli captives organized in Gaza, reconstruction, post -war governance and the conclusion of the war.

Netanyahu and Trump’s political survival

The cessation of fire in Gaza, implemented on January 19, was almost word for word the same exact proposal that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected almost a year before.

Even though Netanyahu has committed from the beginning to return to war after the phase of the three -phase agreement, under a huge pressure from his high -right coalition allies, the situation will return to a large -scale conflict.

The administration of Donald Trump, unlike that of his predecessor, has a lot of political capital among the Israelis, especially on the far right of the political spectrum there, and the entire president’s office is employed with right -wing Zionists. However, the most pro-Israeli administration in US history is now negotiating with Hamas, so what is happening here?

Gaza Ceasefire Talks CV in Doha while Israel is facing internal breaks

The American Envoy Adam Boehler publicly defended his private discussions directly with Hamas officials, who did not include Israel, saying that this strategy is designed to reach an agreement. While most analysts have invested their time in analyzing what this means for the US-Israel relationship, focusing on the reporting said, almost everyone missed the elephant in the room.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spent a year working to clean elements within the political, military and information institution, surrounding with yes and ensuring that all executive decisions are taken by him; where it is possible.

For example, the war office was dissolved, after the peak Israeli political figures, such as the opposition leader, Benny Gantz and the former head of the Israeli army, Gadi Eisenkot, left him, saying he became paralyzed because of the fight.

Later, the Minister of Defense of Israel, Yoav Gallant, also resigned from his position and was replaced with the loyalist Netanyahu Israel Katz, while Gideon Saar was made foreign minister. More recently, the head of Shin Bet, Ronen Bar, together with his counterpart Mossad – who led the Israeli negotiation team – were withdrawn, because the role was handed over the Prime Minister’s faithful assistant, Ron Dermer.

Shin Bet chief had a recent well -documented history of quarrels with Netanyahu. Therefore, the placement of Dermer – a man with strong connections in the US – while his negotiations lead, meant that the Israeli prime minister was easily capable of controlling the course of negotiations, pushing the fire to the end of the collapse.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump has made a constant flow of scandalous comments, who thanked Netanyahu coalition partners, who believe that the rhetoric of the American president could translate into an effort sustained by the US to ethnically clean Gaza. This bought Netanyahu time and makes him appear as if he were receiving considerable support from Washington.

In order to understand this, we must first set aside the rhetoric and trump, which seem implausible to him to follow, especially given the threats against Hamas to release all Israeli captives through specific terms, who end up being Bluffs.

“We are not an agent of Israel”-Anvoy describes US-Hamas’s discussions as “very useful”

The search for the Trump Direct Negotiations with Hamas did not take place by mistake. This historical move reports that the US does not trust Israel to negotiate only a solution.

Also, the threats issued by Trump were translated into an extended Egyptian proposal for a post-war gaza that was ratified by Arab leaders. This step may not solve the problem, but advances the process before.

Meanwhile, if we take a look at the Internal Political Scene of Israel, Netanyahu slowly adopts a more dictatorial rule. The chief of personnel of the Israeli military, new -installed, Eyal Zamir, who he himself has long maintained with the prime minister, now cleanses critical voices for the Israeli prime minister inside the armed forces, such as his former spokesman, Daniel Hagari.

The solution of Benjamin Netanyahu for the survival of the Israeli state is explicit and is in accordance with the requirements of the expansionist efforts of his right -wing coalition; He is looking for “total victory” in a “seven war in front”. However, many actors in their own so-called “deep-state states” do not agree with this vision.

We see these critical voices in disagreement with Netanyahu from each sector, including Mossad, Shin Bet, private corporations, army and political opposition. Even the former first Israeli, such as Ehud Olmert, warned about the imminent collapse of Israel if he continues on his current unwavering trajectory.

An important point to note is that Zionist power is not only in Israel, but also in the United States, where there are many Zionists in question trying to save the Israeli regime in its current situation.

In addition, Netanyahu may seem to be a kind of linear ideologist, but its history instead suggests that it is more of a political survivor concerned with auto -conservation.

If the US really tries to find a solution independent of the government led by Netanyahu, forcing a solution on it, it would have the meaning of all the contradictory statements and movements made by the Trump administration. On the one hand, the US cannot replace Netanyahu, so it has to make movements to support it publicly, but if it really works to save Israel from its current way, you will have to force its hand, making it look like everything was actually Netanyahu’s idea.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jm3_hp1aue

So where does this lead us?

If the theory mentioned above is true, the problems related to the fate of Israel are not only related to Gaza, but to the wider region as a whole. Which can explain why the US worked with the Syrian democratic forces led by Kurzi (SDF) in Syria to combine with the new Damascus administration, led by Ahmed Al-Shara’A.

While the Israelis threaten the Balkanization and chaos, which could lead to a direct confrontation in Syria, the US worked quickly to contain the situation there.

Also, the other major problems refer to Iran and Hezbollah in Lebanon. It is possible that the US can see a regional flame as inevitable and it is likely that Donald Trump will decide to directly support an Israeli attack against Iran, but to work to bring it into a deadlock after the fight intensifies a lot.

When it comes to Gaza, there is a reason why the war has not yet reopened, despite the fact that Israel imposed a full siege on the territory, comparable to what caused the civilian population directly after October 7, 2023. This triggered an immediate response from Ansarallah from Yemen, who moved to re-imprint his block.

Even if the situation returns to a large -scale conflict, it is possible for a transaction to be concluded to bring the war to a full closure. This could even be helped by a regional transaction between Israel and Iran.

From now on, the regional war is still open, but it is in a state of stagnation. There is a tense sensation throughout the region, making all restless. The recent statement by Qatar, who requests that the Israeli nuclear program be placed under the supervision indicates how serious the threat of total war is.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vCly18dvil4

However, the US, which will undoubtedly play a role, seems not to be in the position to cover its bet on a victory in a massive catacismic war that could lead in any direction, including the implementation of nuclear weapons.

If the US Trump administration will prevent a result that could lead to the loss of millions of lives, also, strongly burdening the American army at a time when Washington desperately tries to assert itself in the new multi-pole order, it must act to contain the inevitable collision.

How he does this and if he is successful is still to be seen. However, if the US wants to save Israel by themselves, it would make sense that American Zionists would work alongside their contacts in Israel to ensure a result that prevents a total chaotic war that could easily lead to the Zionist project.

(Chronicle of Palestine)

– Robert Inlakesh is a journalist, writer and documentation producer. He focuses on the Middle East, specialized in Palestine. He contributed with this article to the Chronicle of Palestine.